Pennsylvania House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Scott Wallace a 67% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2018 primary. Brian Fitzpatrick won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Scott Wallace — 67% model odds
  2. Brian Fitzpatrick — 33% model odds (won)
  3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts