Oregon House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kurt Schrader an 83% chance of winning the Oregon House 2018 primary. Kurt Schrader won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Kurt Schrader — 83% model odds (won)
  2. Mark Callahan — 17% model odds
  3. Dan Souza — 0% model odds
  4. Marvin Sandnes — 0% model odds
  5. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts