Arizona House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ruben Gallego a 78% chance of winning the Arizona House 2014 primary. Ruben Gallego won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Ruben Gallego — 78% model odds (won)
  2. Mary Rose Wilcox — 14% model odds
  3. Randy Camacho — 4% model odds
  4. Jarrett Maupin — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts