Ohio Senate 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jim Renacci a 57% chance of winning the Ohio Senate 2018 primary. Sherrod Brown won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Jim Renacci — 57% model odds
2. Sherrod Brown — 43% model odds (won)
3. Stephen Faris — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts