Ohio House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Troy Balderson a 45% chance of winning the Ohio House 2018 primary. Troy Balderson won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Troy Balderson — 45% model odds (won)
  2. Joe Manchik — 45% model odds
  3. Danny O'Connor — 9% model odds
  4. Marc Fagin — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts