New York Senate 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kirsten E. Gillibrand a 50% chance of winning the New York Senate 2018 primary. Kirsten E. Gillibrand won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Kirsten E. Gillibrand — 50% model odds (won)
2. Kirsten E. Gillibrand — 50% model odds
3. Kirsten E. Gillibrand — 0% model odds
4. Kirsten E. Gillibrand — 0% model odds
5. Chele Chiavacci Farley — 0% model odds
6. Chele Chiavacci Farley — 0% model odds
7. Chele Chiavacci Farley — 0% model odds
8. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts