New York House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Thomas W., Ii Reed a 37% chance of winning the New York House 2018 primary. Thomas W., Ii Reed won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Thomas W., Ii Reed — 37% model odds (won)
  2. Thomas W., Ii Reed — 37% model odds
  3. Tracy Mitrano — 17% model odds
  4. Thomas W., Ii Reed — 10% model odds
  5. Tracy Mitrano — 0% model odds
  6. Tracy Mitrano — 0% model odds
  7. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts