New York House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Anthony J. Brindisi a 36% chance of winning the New York House 2018 primary. Anthony J. Brindisi won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Anthony J. Brindisi — 36% model odds (won)
  2. Anthony J. Brindisi — 36% model odds
  3. Claudia Tenney — 10% model odds
  4. Claudia Tenney — 10% model odds
  5. Claudia Tenney — 10% model odds
  6. Anthony J. Brindisi — 0% model odds
  7. Anthony J. Brindisi — 0% model odds
  8. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts