New York House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Elise M. Stefanik a 23% chance of winning the New York House 2018 primary. Elise M. Stefanik won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Elise M. Stefanik — 23% model odds (won)
  2. Elise M. Stefanik — 23% model odds
  3. Elise M. Stefanik — 23% model odds
  4. Lynn Kahn — 23% model odds
  5. Tedra L. Cobb — 6% model odds
  6. Elise M. Stefanik — 3% model odds
  7. Tedra L. # Cobb — 0% model odds
  8. Tedra L. # Cobb — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts