New York House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Antonio Delgado a 33% chance of winning the New York House 2018 primary. Antonio Delgado won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Antonio Delgado — 33% model odds (won)
2. John J. Faso — 15% model odds
3. Diane Neal — 15% model odds
4. John J. Faso — 9% model odds
5. John J. Faso — 9% model odds
6. John J. Faso — 9% model odds
7. Steven Greenfield — 9% model odds
8. Antonio # Delgado — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts