New York House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez a 100% chance of winning the New York House 2018 primary. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Anthony Pappas — 0% model odds
  3. Joseph Crowley — 0% model odds
  4. Joseph Crowley — 0% model odds
  5. Elizabeth Perri — 0% model odds
  6. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts