New York House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Grace Meng an 89% chance of winning the New York House 2018 primary. Grace Meng won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Grace Meng — 89% model odds (won)
2. Grace Meng — 11% model odds
3. Grace Meng — 0% model odds
4. Thomas J. Hillgardner — 0% model odds
5. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts