New York House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Thomas R. Suozzi a 44% chance of winning the New York House 2018 primary. Thomas R. Suozzi won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Thomas R. Suozzi — 44% model odds (won)
  2. Thomas R. Suozzi — 44% model odds
  3. Thomas R. Suozzi — 4% model odds
  4. Dan P. Debono — 4% model odds
  5. Dan P. Debono — 4% model odds
  6. Thomas R. Suozzi — 0% model odds
  7. Thomas R. Suozzi — 0% model odds
  8. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts