New York House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Peter T. King a 30% chance of winning the New York House 2018 primary. Peter T. King won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Peter T. King — 30% model odds (won)
  2. Peter T. King — 30% model odds
  3. Peter T. King — 30% model odds
  4. Peter T. # King — 8% model odds
  5. Liuba Grechen Shirley — 3% model odds
  6. Liuba Grechen # Shirley — 0% model odds
  7. Liuba Grechen # Shirley — 0% model odds
  8. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts