New York House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Perry Gershon a 48% chance of winning the New York House 2018 primary. Perry Gershon won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Perry Gershon — 48% model odds (won)
  2. Lee M. Zeldin — 13% model odds
  3. Lee M. Zeldin — 13% model odds
  4. Lee M. Zeldin — 13% model odds
  5. Lee M. Zeldin — 13% model odds
  6. Perry # Gershon — 0% model odds
  7. Kate M. Browning — 0% model odds
  8. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts