Nevada Senate 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jacky Rosen an 87% chance of winning the Nevada Senate 2018 primary. Jacky Rosen won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Jacky Rosen — 87% model odds (won)
2. Dean Heller — 13% model odds
3. Of These Candidates — 0% model odds
4. Barry Michaels — 0% model odds
5. Tim Hagan — 0% model odds
6. Kamau A. Bakari — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts