New Mexico House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ben R. Lujan a 95% chance of winning the New Mexico House 2018 primary. Ben R. Lujan won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Ben R. Lujan — 95% model odds (won)
2. Jerald Steve Mcfall — 5% model odds
3. Christopher Manning — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts