New Mexico House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Debra A. Haaland a 95% chance of winning the New Mexico House 2018 primary. Debra A. Haaland won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Debra A. Haaland — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Janice E. Arnold-Jones — 5% model odds
  3. Lloyd J. Princeton — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts