New Jersey Senate 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Robert Menendez a 60% chance of winning the New Jersey Senate 2018 primary. Robert Menendez won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Robert Menendez — 60% model odds (won)
  2. Tricia Flanagan — 40% model odds
  3. Bob Hugin — 0% model odds
  4. Madelyn R. Hoffman — 0% model odds
  5. Murray Sabrin — 0% model odds
  6. Natalie Lynn Rivera — 0% model odds
  7. Kevin Kimple — 0% model odds
  8. Hank Schroeder — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts