New Jersey House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mikie Sherrill a 74% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2018 primary. Mikie Sherrill won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mikie Sherrill — 74% model odds (won)
  2. Jay Webber — 26% model odds
  3. Robert F. Cook — 0% model odds
  4. Ryan Martinez — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts