New Jersey House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Tom Malinowski a 30% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2018 primary. Tom Malinowski won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Tom Malinowski — 30% model odds (won)
2. Leonard Lance — 24% model odds
3. Diane Moxley — 24% model odds
4. Gregg Mele — 24% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts