New Jersey House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Josh Gottheimer an 88% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2018 primary. Josh Gottheimer won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Josh Gottheimer — 88% model odds (won)
2. John J., Jr. Mccann — 12% model odds
3. James Tosone — 0% model odds
4. Wendy W. Goetz — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts