New Jersey House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Christopher H. Smith an 88% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2018 primary. Christopher H. Smith won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Christopher H. Smith — 88% model odds (won)
  2. Joshua Welle — 12% model odds
  3. Michael Rufo — 0% model odds
  4. Edward C., Jr. Stackhouse — 0% model odds
  5. Brian J. Reynolds — 0% model odds
  6. Felicia Stoler — 0% model odds
  7. Allen Yusufov — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts