New Jersey House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Andy Kim a 56% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2018 primary. Andy Kim won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Andy Kim — 56% model odds (won)
  2. Tom Macarthur — 44% model odds
  3. Lawrence Berlinski — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts