New Jersey House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jeff Van Drew a 50% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2018 primary. Jeff Van Drew won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Jeff Van Drew — 50% model odds (won)
2. Seth Grossman — 50% model odds
3. John Ordille — 0% model odds
4. Steven Fenichel — 0% model odds
5. Anthony Parisi Sanchez — 0% model odds
6. William R. Benfer — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts