New Jersey House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Donald W. Norcross a 57% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2018 primary. Donald W. Norcross won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Donald W. Norcross — 57% model odds (won)
  2. Paul Hamlin — 43% model odds
  3. Paul E. Dilks — 0% model odds
  4. Robert Shapiro — 0% model odds
  5. Mohammad Kabir — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts