North Carolina House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ted Budd a 33% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2018 primary. Ted Budd won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Ted Budd — 33% model odds (won)
2. Kathy Manning — 33% model odds
3. Robert Corriher — 33% model odds
4. Tom Bailey — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts