North Carolina House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Patrick Mchenry an 88% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2018 primary. Patrick Mchenry won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Patrick Mchenry — 88% model odds (won)
  2. David Wilson Brown — 12% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts