North Carolina House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mark Harris an 88% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2018 primary. Mark Harris won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mark Harris — 88% model odds (won)
  2. Dan Mccready — 12% model odds
  3. Jeff Scott — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts