North Carolina House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave David Rouzer an 82% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2018 primary. David Rouzer won, matching the model's top pick.

1. David Rouzer — 82% model odds (won)
2. Kyle Horton — 18% model odds
3. David W. Fallin — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts