North Carolina House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave G. K. Butterfield a 95% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2018 primary. G. K. Butterfield won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. G. K. Butterfield — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Roger W. Allison — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts