Montana House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Greg Gianforte a 73% chance of winning the Montana House 2018 primary. Greg Gianforte won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Greg Gianforte — 73% model odds (won)
  2. Kathleen Williams — 27% model odds
  3. Elinor Swanson — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts