Mississippi House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Trent Kelly a 49% chance of winning the Mississippi House 2018 primary. Trent Kelly won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Trent Kelly — 49% model odds (won)
  2. Tracella Lou O'Hara Hill — 49% model odds
  3. Randy Mack Wadkins — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts