Missouri Senate 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Josh Hawley a 44% chance of winning the Missouri Senate 2018 primary. Josh Hawley won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Josh Hawley — 44% model odds (won)
  2. Jo Crain — 38% model odds
  3. Claire Mccaskill — 18% model odds
  4. Craig O'Dear — 0% model odds
  5. Japheth Campbell — 0% model odds
  6. Gina Bufe — 0% model odds
  7. Martin Luther Dzerzhinsky Lindstedt — 0% model odds
  8. Rodney Stock — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts