Missouri House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Vicky Hartzler an 88% chance of winning the Missouri House 2018 primary. Vicky Hartzler won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Vicky Hartzler — 88% model odds (won)
  2. Renee Hoagenson — 12% model odds
  3. Mark Bliss — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts