Missouri House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ann Wagner a 44% chance of winning the Missouri House 2018 primary. Ann Wagner won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Ann Wagner — 44% model odds (won)
  2. David Justus Arnold — 44% model odds
  3. Cort Vanostran — 12% model odds
  4. Larry A. Kirk — 0% model odds
  5. Ken Newhouse — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts