Minnesota House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Dave Hughes an 81% chance of winning the Minnesota House 2018 primary. Collin C. Peterson won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Dave Hughes — 81% model odds
  2. Collin C. Peterson — 19% model odds (won)
  3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts