Minnesota House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Tom Emmer a 100% chance of winning the Minnesota House 2018 primary. Tom Emmer won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Tom Emmer — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Ian Todd — 0% model odds
  3. Scattered — 0% model odds
  4. A.J. Kern — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts