Michigan Senate 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Debbie Stabenow an 85% chance of winning the Michigan Senate 2018 primary. Debbie Stabenow won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Debbie Stabenow — 85% model odds (won)
  2. John James — 8% model odds
  3. Marcia Squier — 8% model odds
  4. George E., Iii Huffman — 0% model odds
  5. John Howard Wilhelm — 0% model odds
  6. Tom Bagwell — 0% model odds
  7. Valerie L. Willis — 0% model odds
  8. Tim Yow — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts