Michigan House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Paul Mitchell a 64% chance of winning the Michigan House 2018 primary. Paul Mitchell won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Paul Mitchell — 64% model odds (won)
  2. Harley Mikkelson — 36% model odds
  3. Kimberly Bizon — 0% model odds
  4. Jeremy Peruski — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts