Arizona House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Andy Tobin an 84% chance of winning the Arizona House 2014 primary. Andy Tobin won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Andy Tobin — 84% model odds (won)
  2. Gary Kiehne — 11% model odds
  3. Adam Kwasman — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts