Michigan House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Elissa Slotkin a 67% chance of winning the Michigan House 2018 primary. Elissa Slotkin won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Elissa Slotkin — 67% model odds (won)
  2. Mike Bishop — 33% model odds
  3. Brian Ellison — 0% model odds
  4. David J. Lillis — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts