Michigan House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Cathy Albro a 56% chance of winning the Michigan House 2018 primary. Justin Amash won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Cathy Albro — 56% model odds
  2. Justin Amash — 44% model odds (won)
  3. Ted Gerrard — 0% model odds
  4. Joe Farrington — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts