Maine Senate 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Eric L. Brakey an 88% chance of winning the Maine Senate 2018 primary. Angus S., Jr. King won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Eric L. Brakey — 88% model odds
  2. Zak Ringelstein — 12% model odds
  3. Angus S., Jr. King — 0% model odds (won)
  4. James N., Jr. Riley — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts