Maine House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jared F. Golden a 50% chance of winning the Maine House 2018 primary. Bruce L. Poliquin won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Jared F. Golden — 50% model odds
2. Bruce L. Poliquin — 50% model odds (won)
3. Tiffany L. Bond — 0% model odds
4. William R.S. Hoar — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts