Maryland House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave David Trone a 71% chance of winning the Maryland House 2018 primary. David Trone won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. David Trone — 71% model odds (won)
  2. Amie Hoeber — 15% model odds
  3. George Gluck — 15% model odds
  4. Kevin T. Caldwell — 0% model odds
  5. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts