Arkansas House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave French Hill a 91% chance of winning the Arkansas House 2014 primary. French Hill won, matching the model's top pick.

1. French Hill — 91% model odds (won)
2. Conrad Reynolds — 5% model odds
3. Ann Clemmer — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts