Kentucky House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Andy Barr an 88% chance of winning the Kentucky House 2018 primary. Andy Barr won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Andy Barr — 88% model odds (won)
  2. Amy Mcgrath — 12% model odds
  3. Frank Harris — 0% model odds
  4. Rikka L. Wallin — 0% model odds
  5. James Germalic — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts