Kentucky House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Thomas Massie a 100% chance of winning the Kentucky House 2018 primary. Thomas Massie won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Thomas Massie — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Seth Hall — 0% model odds
  3. Mike Moffett — 0% model odds
  4. David Goodwin — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts