Kentucky House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John A. Yarmuth a 95% chance of winning the Kentucky House 2018 primary. John A. Yarmuth won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. John A. Yarmuth — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Vickie Yates B. Glisson — 5% model odds
  3. Gregory Boles — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts